CAR Prepares for the Polls as President Seeks a Third Term

This Sunday, the nation of CAR will hold a crucial quadruple election, encompassing the presidency, parliament, and municipal offices.

A Crowded Presidential Field

Seven candidates are competing for the top office, including former prime ministers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. Both men were cleared to stand by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé was the runner-up in the 2015 and 2020 votes, while Dondra briefly served under the current president.

Challengers' Strategy and Public Discontent

The opposition hopes to capitalize on widespread discontent in a country where conflict remains a daily reality. More than half a million people are internally displaced, with a similar number living as exiles in bordering states.

"This represents an chance to acknowledge the remarkable recovery of the country," said a UN regional official, though he added that obstacles remain.

The Incumbent's Path

Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is largely predicted to secure another term. He first entered politics in 2008 when named prime minister, serving until a rebel coalition overthrew the government in 2013, sparking a civil war.

After a turbulent three-year interim, his reputation for neutrality from the main militias fueled his runoff win in 2016.

Security Concerns and Logistical Hurdles

There are fears that supply-chain issues and insecurity could mar the electoral process, particularly in rural areas. The UN stabilization force, Minusca, is offering security and organizational aid that the country's weak systems is unable to provide.

Further issues include the voter list being made available only digitally, a major hurdle in a country with limited internet access. These issues have led to an electoral boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "exclude many of the population."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many citizens fear that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would mean expanded sway for foreign actors.

The president has relied on the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and even after its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. In contrast, Rwanda has pursued a separate strategy, focusing on business interests within CAR.

Claims of National Disposal

Allegations have stated the government removed its own soldiers from a internationally financed facility to accommodate a Rwandan livestock operation. A pro-opposition editorial accused the leadership of being "intent on sell off the country bit by bit."

Despite a recent peace accord with rebel groups offering hope of calm, the election proceeds under a shadow of uncertainty and geopolitical rivalry.